Kevin Warsh moves ahead in Fed chief race on Kalshi after Hassett pushback

Kevin Warsh, a former Federal Reserve governor, saw his odds of becoming the next Fed chair increase significantly on the prediction market Kalshi following what was perceived as a setback for fellow candidate Kevin Hassett. Hassett, an economic advisor to President Trump, reportedly received pushback for his views during the selection process, potentially clearing a path for Warsh. The development arrives against a backdrop of shifting risk appetite, where investors are reassessing exposure to markets and weighing the second-order impact on adjacent sectors. Investors are watching the broader tape for follow-through. Live pricing was not available at the time of writing, but positioning data and order-book signals will shape the next session. Positioning across funds, options skew and credit spreads typically respond first; equity price action lags but tends to confirm the direction once volume returns. Readers should treat the immediate move as a sentiment proxy rather than a final verdict on fundamentals. For longer-horizon allocators the more important question is whether this changes the trajectory of cash flows, regulation or competitive dynamics. If it does, multiple compression or expansion follows; if it does not, the reaction fades within a few sessions and the prior trend reasserts itself. What to watch next: forthcoming earnings prints, central-bank guidance and any official commentary that either validates or pushes back on the market's interpretation. Reported by CNBC and contextualised by the Global Investing News desk under Mark Grundell.