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These charts suggest the bears aren’t done with the stock market yet

By Mark GrundellMarketWatchMarch 19, 2026 at 11:12 PMNeutral1 min read

Despite recent gains, key indicators point to persistent bearish sentiment among investors

Recent stock market rallies have ignited hopes of a sustained recovery, but a deeper dive into technical indicators and investor positioning suggests these gains may be fleeting, with bears still firmly in control.

What to watch next

Investors should closely monitor upcoming inflation data for signs of sustained economic deceleration.

These charts suggest the bears aren’t done with the stock market yet

Despite recent rebounds, several key market indicators suggest that bearish sentiment continues to dominate. Technical analysis reveals that major indices face strong resistance at critical levels, with trading volumes failing to confirm recent upward movements. This divergence often precedes further downside, as optimistic buying lacks the conviction needed to overcome underlying selling pressure. Smart money flows, often a canary in the coal mine, also indicate that institutional investors are still positioning defensively, not aggressively. For investors, this nuanced picture means exercising caution. While tempting to chase short-term rallies, the broader landscape suggests that fundamental headwinds, including persistent inflation and an uncertain interest rate path, remain unaddressed. A premature belief in a market bottom could lead to significant capital erosion if these technical and sentiment signals prove accurate. It's crucial to differentiate between cyclical bounces and a true market reversal, which typically requires stronger, sustained evidence across multiple asset classes. Looking ahead, the market's response to upcoming corporate earnings reports and any shifts in central bank rhetoric will be critical. Any signs of weakening consumer demand or tightening credit conditions could easily reignite a downward spiral. Prudent investors should maintain diversified portfolios and avoid making significant directional bets until there's clearer evidence of a sustained bullish trend, rather than relying on tentative rallies.

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