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Gundlach keeps finding 1995 parallels as Fed finally catches up to 2-year Treasury

By Mark GrundellMarketWatchDecember 11, 2025 at 9:44 AMNeutral1 min read

Jeffrey Gundlach, CEO of DoubleLine Capital, is observing strong parallels between the current economic environment and

Jeffrey Gundlach, CEO of DoubleLine Capital, is observing strong parallels between the current economic environment and 1995, particularly noting that the Federal Reserve's policy actions and current interest rates are now aligning with the 2-year Treasury yield. This suggests that the Fed may be approaching the end of its tightening cycle, a scenario reminiscent of 1995 when the central bank paused rate hikes, leading to a period of strong market performance.

What to watch next

Watch upcoming earnings, policy statements and sector-level price action for confirmation.

Jeffrey Gundlach, CEO of DoubleLine Capital, is observing strong parallels between the current economic environment and 1995, particularly noting that the Federal Reserve's policy actions and current interest rates are now aligning with the 2-year Treasury yield. This suggests that the Fed may be approaching the end of its tightening cycle, a scenario reminiscent of 1995 when the central bank paused rate hikes, leading to a period of strong market performance.

Jeffrey Gundlach, CEO of DoubleLine Capital, is observing strong parallels between the current economic environment and 1995, particularly noting that the Federal Reserve's policy actions and current interest rates are now aligning with the 2-year Treasury yield. This suggests that the Fed may be approaching the end of its tightening cycle, a scenario reminiscent of 1995 when the central bank paused rate hikes, leading to a period of strong market performance. The development arrives against a backdrop of shifting risk appetite, where investors are reassessing exposure to markets and weighing the second-order impact on adjacent sectors. Investors are watching the broader tape for follow-through. Live pricing was not available at the time of writing, but positioning data and order-book signals will shape the next session. Positioning across funds, options skew and credit spreads typically respond first; equity price action lags but tends to confirm the direction once volume returns. Readers should treat the immediate move as a sentiment proxy rather than a final verdict on fundamentals. For longer-horizon allocators the more important question is whether this changes the trajectory of cash flows, regulation or competitive dynamics. If it does, multiple compression or expansion follows; if it does not, the reaction fades within a few sessions and the prior trend reasserts itself. What to watch next: forthcoming earnings prints, central-bank guidance and any official commentary that either validates or pushes back on the market's interpretation. Reported by MarketWatch and contextualised by the Global Investing News desk under Mark Grundell.

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