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Howard Marks Says Don’t Let Emotions Cloud Judgment on War

By Mark GrundellBloombergMarch 3, 2026 at 1:22 AMNeutral1 min read

Oaktree Capital co-founder stresses rational analysis over emotional response in crises

Howard Marks's latest commentary reminds investors that geopolitical events, while impactful, often trigger exaggerated short-term market reactions. His guidance is a call for disciplined investing, avoiding panic-driven decisions.

What to watch next

Investors will keenly observe how long geopolitical tensions persist and their actual impact on corporate earnings.

Key Takeaways

  • 1Howard Marks urges investors to avoid emotional reactions to geopolitical events like war.
  • 2He advocates for rational decision-making and focusing on long-term investment principles.
  • 3Marks implies short-term market volatility due to war can create investment opportunities.

Howard Marks, co-founder of Oaktree Capital Management, advises investors to maintain a rational perspective amidst geopolitical turmoil, specifically regarding the ongoing war. His message emphasizes avoiding emotional decisions that can lead to poor long-term investment outcomes. Marks, known for his insightful memos, suggests that market reactions to such events are often overblown in the short term, presenting opportunities for thoughtful investors who focus on fundamentals rather than panic.

Oaktree Capital Management co-founder Howard Marks recently urged investors to resist emotional impulses amidst ongoing geopolitical conflicts. His advice, consistent with his famed investment philosophy, champions a rational, long-term perspective over reactive decision-making in times of uncertainty. Marks suggests that while the human toll of war is undeniable, its direct and lasting impact on investment fundamentals is often overestimated by the market in the immediate aftermath, creating potential mispricings. For investors, Marks's message underscores the importance of differentiation between short-term market noise and fundamental value. Panicked sell-offs spurred by geopolitical events can present opportunities for those with the foresight and discipline to evaluate assets based on their intrinsic worth rather than prevailing sentiment. His guidance is particularly relevant in today's interconnected global economy, where crises can trigger widespread, yet sometimes fleeting, volatility. Marks advises against allowing headlines to dictate investment strategy, encouraging a deep dive into company specifics and long-term economic trends. Investors focusing on these enduring factors, rather than succumbing to fear or speculative optimism, are better positioned to weather geopolitical storms. What to watch next: How corporate earnings reports reflect actual economic resilience versus market Hype. The full implications for investors will depend on follow-through in price action, positioning data and forthcoming policy or earnings catalysts referenced above.

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