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China manufacturing activity expands for the first time since March, beating expectations

By Mark GrundellCNBCDecember 31, 2025 at 1:57 AMBullish1 min read

China's Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for manufacturing has shown expansion for the first time since March, surpassin

China's Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for manufacturing has shown expansion for the first time since March, surpassing analysts' predictions. This indicates a potential rebound in the world's second-largest economy, suggesting that government stimulus measures and easing of COVID-19 restrictions may be having a positive effect on industrial output.

Analyst sentiment: Bullish
What to watch next

Watch upcoming earnings, policy statements and sector-level price action for confirmation.

China's Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for manufacturing has shown expansion for the first time since March, surpassing analysts' predictions. This indicates a potential rebound in the world's second-largest economy, suggesting that government stimulus measures and easing of COVID-19 restrictions may be having a positive effect on industrial output.

China's Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for manufacturing has shown expansion for the first time since March, surpassing analysts' predictions. This indicates a potential rebound in the world's second-largest economy, suggesting that government stimulus measures and easing of COVID-19 restrictions may be having a positive effect on industrial output. The development arrives against a backdrop of shifting risk appetite, where investors are reassessing exposure to markets and weighing the second-order impact on adjacent sectors. Investors are watching the broader tape for follow-through. Live pricing was not available at the time of writing, but positioning data and order-book signals will shape the next session. Positioning across funds, options skew and credit spreads typically respond first; equity price action lags but tends to confirm the direction once volume returns. Readers should treat the immediate move as a sentiment proxy rather than a final verdict on fundamentals. For longer-horizon allocators the more important question is whether this changes the trajectory of cash flows, regulation or competitive dynamics. If it does, multiple compression or expansion follows; if it does not, the reaction fades within a few sessions and the prior trend reasserts itself. What to watch next: forthcoming earnings prints, central-bank guidance and any official commentary that either validates or pushes back on the market's interpretation. Reported by CNBC and contextualised by the Global Investing News desk under Mark Grundell.

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